{"id":675,"date":"2020-11-27T05:20:01","date_gmt":"2020-11-27T05:20:01","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/feellikelearning.com\/?p=675"},"modified":"2020-12-03T19:06:54","modified_gmt":"2020-12-03T19:06:54","slug":"cn-my-investment-book-recommendations-1-a-man-for-all-markets","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/feellikelearning.com\/index.php\/2020\/11\/27\/cn-my-investment-book-recommendations-1-a-man-for-all-markets\/","title":{"rendered":"\u6211\u559c\u6b22\u7684\u6295\u8d44\u4e66\u7c4d\u63a8\u8350 (1) A Man for All Markets | My investment book recommendations (1) A Man for All Markets"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

A Man for All Markets<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u8fd9\u672c\u4e66\u662fEd Thorp(Edward Thorp, \u4e2d\u8bd1: \u7231\u5fb7\u534e\u7d22\u666e)\u7684\u81ea\u4f20. \u5927\u5bb6\u90fd\u77e5\u9053\u5df4\u83f2\u7279, \u4e0d\u77e5\u9053\u4e3a\u4ec0\u4e48Ed Thorp\u7684\u540d\u6c14\u5e76\u4e0d\u662f\u5f88\u5927. Ed Thorp\u662f\u91cf\u5316\u6295\u8d44\u7684\u6559\u7236\u7ea7\u4eba\u7269. \u540e\u6765\u6211\u5728\u6e7e\u533a\u56fe\u4e66\u9986\u89c1\u5230\u8fd9\u672c\u4e66\u8fd8\u6709\u53f0\u6e7e\u51fa\u7248\u7684\u4e2d\u6587\u7ffb\u8bd1\u7248\u672c, \u7ffb\u8bd1\u7684\u4e66\u540d\u5f88\u597d\u7684\u6982\u62ec\u4e86Thorp\u7684\u4f20\u5947\u4eba\u751f: \u4ed6\u662f\u8d4c\u795e, \u66f4\u662f\u80a1\u795e. (\u4e2d\u56fd\u5927\u9646\u7ffb\u8bd1\u4e3a: \u6218\u80dc\u4e00\u5207\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u4eba<\/a>, \u4e2d\u4fe1\u51fa\u7248\u793e, \u8c46\u74e3\u8bc4\u5206: 8.3). <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Thorp\u51fa\u751f\u5728\u5357\u52a0\u5dde, \u5c0f\u65f6\u5019\u5c31\u5f88\u806a\u660e. \u4ed6\u5bb6\u91cc\u5f88\u7a77, \u5bb6\u91cc\u4eba\u4e5f\u6ca1\u4e0a\u8fc7\u5927\u5b66, \u4f46\u662f\u4ed6\u5374\u65e9\u65e9\u5b9a\u4e0b\u4e86\u8981\u4e0a\u5927\u5b66\u7684\u8fdc\u5927\u76ee\u6807. \u540e\u6765\u56e0\u4e3a\u5bb6\u91cc\u6ca1\u94b1, \u653e\u5f03\u4e86\u6602\u8d35\u7684\u79c1\u7acb\u5927\u5b66Caltech, \u6765\u5230\u4e86\u5317\u52a0\u5dde\u6e7e\u533a, \u4e0a\u4e86\u63d0\u4f9b\u5956\u5b66\u91d1\u7684UC Berkeley. \u540e\u6765\u56e0\u4e3a\u4e0d\u559c\u6b22Berkeley\u7684\u73af\u5883, \u8f6c\u5b66\u56de\u5230\u4e86\u5bb6\u4e61\u7684UCLA, \u4ece\u672c\u79d1\u4e00\u76f4\u8bfb\u5230Ph.D.\u6bd5\u4e1a. \u6bd5\u4e1a\u540e\u627e\u5230\u4e86\u4e00\u4efdMIT\u6570\u5b66\u7cfb\u7684\u6559\u804c, \u8c8c\u4f3c\u662f2\u5e74\u7684\u5408\u540c. \u4ed6\u7684\u7814\u7a76\u65b9\u5411\u662f\u6982\u7387\u8bba\u7684\u5e94\u7528. \u4e8e\u662f\u4ed6\u5c31\u628a\u6982\u7387\u8bba\u5e94\u7528\u5728\u4e00\u4e2a\u5f88\u5408\u9002\u7684\u9886\u57df: \u8d4c\u535a.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u5177\u4f53\u6765\u8bf4, \u4ed6\u6700\u5148\u7528\u8ba1\u7b97\u673a\u5206\u6790\u4e8621\u70b9\u8fd9\u4e2a\u6e38\u620f, \u627e\u51fa\u4e86\u9ad8\u80dc\u7387\u7684\u7b97\u6cd5. \u884c\u8bdd\u53eb, \u6709\u201cedge\u201c. \u5f53\u521d\u867d\u7136\u6709\u4e0d\u5c11\u6c11\u95f4\u8d4c\u535a\u9ad8\u624b, \u9760\u7ecf\u9a8c\u6216\u8bb0\u724c\u53d1\u660e\u4e86\u4e00\u4e9b\u65b9\u6cd5, \u4f46\u662f\u7528\u8ba1\u7b97\u673a\u628a\u6240\u6709\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u7ec4\u5408\u90fd\u7b97\u51fa\u6765\u4ed6\u662f\u7b2c\u4e00\u4e2a. \u4f5c\u4e3a\u4e00\u4e2a\u5b66\u8005, \u4ed6\u628a\u8fd9\u4e2a\u53d1\u73b0\u53d1\u8868\u4e86. \u800c\u4e3a\u4e86\u80fd\u53d1\u8868\u5728\u5ba1\u7a3f\u901f\u5ea6\u5f88\u5feb\u7684PNAS (\u7f8e\u56fd\u79d1\u5b66\u9662\u9662\u520a)\u4e0a, \u4ed6\u8fd8\u62b1\u4e86\u4e2a\u5927\u817f: \u4ece\u8d1d\u5c14\u5b9e\u9a8c\u5ba4\u9000\u4f11\u5230MIT\u6570\u5b66\u7cfb\u517b\u8001\u7684\u9662\u58eb, \u5929\u624d\u79d1\u5b66\u5bb6, \u9999\u519c. \u5f53\u65f6PNAS\u9700\u8981\u6709\u9662\u58eb\u652f\u6301\u624d\u80fd\u53d1\u8868. \u540e\u6765Thorp\u8fd8\u628a\u4ed6\u768421\u70b9\u79d8\u7c4d\u5199\u6210\u4e86\u4e00\u672c\u5f53\u65f6\u7684\u7206\u6b3e\u7545\u9500\u4e66: Beat the Dealer (\u6218\u80dc\u5e84\u5bb6), \u6210\u4e3a\u4e86\u5f53\u5e74\u7684\u77e5\u8bc6\u578b\u201c\u7f51\u7ea2\u201d. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Thorp\u6559\u6388\u7684\u7814\u7a76\u56e0\u4e3a\u5176\u5e7f\u9614\u7684\u201c\u5e94\u7528\u524d\u666f\u201d, \u5f15\u8d77\u4e86\u5f88\u591a\u793e\u4f1a\u4eba\u58eb\u7684\u5173\u6ce8. \u4e00\u6b21\u4ed6\u7ed9\u7684\u5b66\u672f\u62a5\u544a\u5c45\u7136\u65e9\u65e9\u5c31\u6324\u7834\u5934\u4e86. \u8fd9\u5413\u574f\u4e86\u6570\u5b66\u5bb6\u4eec, \u4ec0\u4e48\u65f6\u5019\u89c1\u8fc7\u7f8e\u56fd\u4eba\u6c11\u5bf9\u6570\u5b66\u7814\u7a76\u8fd9\u4e48\u70ed\u8877? \u5728\u6ca1\u6709email\u7684\u5e74\u4ee3, MIT\u6570\u5b66\u7cfb\u7684\u4fe1\u7bb1\u88ab\u96ea\u7247\u822c\u7684\u6765\u4fe1\u585e\u6ee1\u4e86, \u5927\u5927\u589e\u52a0\u4e86\u7cfb\u91cc\u5c0f\u79d8\u7684\u5de5\u4f5c\u91cf, \u4ee5\u81f3\u4e8e\u5c0f\u79d8\u5411Thorp\u6559\u6388\u62b1\u6028. \u518d\u540e\u6765, \u4e00\u4f4d\u6709\u9ed1\u9053\u80cc\u666f\u7684\u5bcc\u8c6a\u9e21\u6bdb\u5148\u751f(Manny Kimmel), (\u6ca1\u9519, \u5c31\u548c\u662f\u5409\u7c73\u9e21\u6bdb\u79c0\u4e3b\u6301\u4ebaJimmy Kimmel\u540c\u59d3\u6c0f. \u4e0d\u77e5\u9053\u4ed6\u4eec\u662f\u4e0d\u662f\u4eb2\u621a)\u627e\u5230Thorp, \u8981\u8d44\u52a9\u4ed6\u53bb\u8d4c\u573a\u201c\u505a\u79d1\u5b66\u5b9e\u9a8c\u201d, \u9a8c\u8bc1\u4ed6\u7684\u5b66\u8bf4\u884c\u4e0d\u884c. \u7ed3\u679c\u4ed6\u4eec\u6a2a\u626b\u4e86Reno\u548cLas Vegas\u7684\u8d4c\u573a, Thorp\u88ab\u6388\u4e88\u4e86\u8d4c\u535a\u5c4a\u6700\u9ad8\u8363\u8a89: \u88ab\u5404\u5927\u8d4c\u573a\u5217\u5165\u4e86\u9ed1\u540d\u5355, \u6b63\u5f0f\u6210\u4e3a\u4e86\u201c\u8d4c\u795e\u201d. \u8981\u77e5\u9053, \u8fd9\u9ed1\u540d\u5355\u53ef\u4e0d\u5bb9\u6613\u4e0a, \u4e0a\u9762\u7684\u90fd\u662f\u5927\u725b. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

2008\u5e74\u7684\u7535\u5f71, 21 (\u51b3\u80dc21\u70b9)\u91cc\u8bb2\u7684\u4e00\u7fa4MIT\u7684\u5b66\u751f\u53bb\u62c9\u65af\u7ef4\u52a0\u65af\u8d4c\u573a\u7b97\u724c\u7684\u6545\u4e8b\u662f\u6839\u636e\u771f\u4e8b\u6539\u7f16, \u4ed6\u4eec\u7528\u7684\u5c31\u662fThorp\u53d1\u660e\u7684\u7b97\u724c\u7cfb\u7edf. \u4e3b\u89d2\u7684\u539f\u578b\u5176\u5b9e\u662f\u540d\u534e\u88d4, \u53ebJeff Ma<\/a>. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

\u65e2\u7136\u5c0f\u8d4c\u573a\u4e0d\u8ba9\u73a9\u4e86, \u90a3\u4e48\u53ea\u597d\u5230\u4e00\u4e2a\u66f4\u5927\u7684\u5168\u7403\u6027\u8d4c\u573a\u73a9\u4e86, \u90a3\u5c31\u662f: \u534e\u5c14\u8857. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u5728MIT\u5408\u7ea6\u671f\u6ee1\u540e, Thorp\u8df3\u69fd\u53bb\u4e86\u65b0\u58a8\u897f\u54e5\u5dde\u7acb\u5927\u5b66. \u8fd9\u53ef\u4e0d\u662f\u58a8\u897f\u54e5, \u65b0\u58a8\u897f\u54e5\u662f\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u4e00\u4e2a\u5dde, \u4e0d\u8fc7\u4ece\u5730\u56fe\u4e0a\u770b, \u8fd9\u5b66\u6821\u79bb\u58a8\u897f\u54e5\u4e5f\u4e0d\u8fdc\u4e86. Thorp\u5927\u725b\u600e\u4e48\u4f1a\u4ece\u4e16\u754c\u540d\u6821MIT\u8df3\u69fd\u5230\u4e00\u4e2a\u666e\u901a\u5b66\u6821\u5462? \u636e\u4ed6\u81ea\u5df1\u5728\u4e66\u91cc\u8bf4, \u4e3b\u8981\u662f\u4e09\u4e2a\u539f\u56e0, \u4e00\u6765MIT\u7684\u5408\u540c\u5feb\u5230\u671f\u4e86, \u4e8c\u6765\u65b0\u5b66\u6821\u7ed9\u7684\u5de5\u8d44\u6bd4MIT\u9ad8\u591a\u4e86, \u4e09\u6765MIT\u6240\u5728\u7684Cambridge\u5bf9\u4ed6\u4e00\u4e2a\u5357\u52a0\u5dde\u6765\u7684\u5357\u65b9\u4eba\u6765\u8bf4\u592a\u51b7\u4e86, \u5979\u8001\u5a46Vivian\u4e0d\u559c\u6b22. \u5230\u65b0\u5b66\u6821\u540e, Thorp\u6295\u8d44\u4e86\u5f53\u5e74\u548c\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01\u822c\u706b\u70ed\u7684\u767d\u94f6, \u767d\u94f6\u4e00\u8def\u9ad8\u6b4c\u731b\u8fdb, \u4e8e\u662f\u4ed6\u52a0\u5927\u6295\u8d44, \u4e0a\u9a6c\u91d1(\u5b56\u5c55)\u52a0\u6760\u6746, \u6700\u540e\u4e00\u628a\u5927\u8dcc, \u4ed6\u7684\u6295\u5165\u5168\u90e8\u8f93\u5149, \u5e78\u597d\u6ca1\u5012\u6b20\u94b1. \u5272\u5c3d\u8d4c\u573a\u97ed\u83dc\u7684\u8d4c\u795e\u88ab\u82b1\u8857\u72e0\u72e0\u5730\u5272\u4e86\u4e00\u628a\u97ed\u83dc… \u8d4c\u795e\u7684\u97ed\u83dc\u54ea\u6709\u90a3\u4e48\u597d\u5272? \u540e\u6765, \u4ed6\u5728\u56fe\u4e66\u9986\u8bfb\u5230\u4e86\u4e00\u672c\u4e66, \u53ebThe Random Character of Stoack Market Prices. \u8fd8\u771f\u7ed9\u6211\u627e\u5230\u4e86, \u76ee\u524d\u5728Amazon\u53ea\u6709\u4e00\u672c, $919! \u4e0d\u5dee\u94b1\u7684\u670b\u53cb\u53ef\u4ee5\u628a\u8fd9\u672c\u542f\u53d1\u8fc7Thorp\u5927\u5e08\u7684\u4e66\u4e70\u4e0b\u6765\u6536\u85cf…<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

\u91cc\u9762\u6709\u4ecb\u7ecd\u4e00\u4e2a\u53ebLouis Bachelier\u7684\u6cd5\u56fdPh.D.\u7684\u6bd5\u4e1a\u8bba\u6587, \u7528\u5e03\u6717\u8fd0\u52a8\u6765\u6a21\u62df\u80a1\u5e02\u8d70\u52bf. \u8bba\u6587\u662f\u6cd5\u8bed\u5199\u5f97, \u5728\u82f1\u6587\u4e16\u754c\u91cc\u6839\u672c\u6ca1\u4eba\u542c\u8bf4\u8fc7… Bachelier\u51fa\u751f\u4e8e1870\u5e74, \u90a3\u65f6\u4e2d\u56fd\u8fd8\u662f\u6e05\u671d\u540c\u6cbb\u5e74\u95f4, \u6cd5\u56fd\u4eba\u5df2\u7ecf\u5728\u7092\u80a1\u4e86… Thorp\u540e\u6765\u7528\u5e03\u6717\u8fd0\u52a8\u7684\u79d1\u5b66\u65b9\u6cd5\u6765\u7ed9\u4e00\u79cd\u53eb\u53ef\u8f6c\u6362\u503a\u5238(convertable bond)\u7684\u91d1\u878d\u884d\u751f\u54c1\u5b9a\u4ef7. \u5f53\u65f6\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u4e5f\u4e0d\u77e5\u9053\u600e\u4e48\u7ed9\u8fd9\u79cd\u884d\u751f\u54c1\u5b9a\u4ef7, \u57fa\u672c\u9760\u731c. \u53ef\u8f6c\u503a\u7684\u6807\u7684\u7269\u662f\u80a1\u7968, \u6839\u636eThorp\u7684\u5b9a\u4ef7, \u4ed6\u53ef\u4ee5\u8fdb\u884c\u4e00\u79cd\u98ce\u9669\u5f88\u5c0f\u7684\u5957\u5229\u7b56\u7565: \u5f53\u53ef\u8f6c\u503a\u76f8\u5bf9\u6807\u7684\u80a1\u7968\u4fbf\u5b9c\u7684\u65f6\u5019, \u4e70\u5165\u53ef\u8f6c\u503a\u540c\u65f6\u505a\u7a7a\u6807\u7684\u80a1\u7968, \u800c\u5f53\u53ef\u8f6c\u503a\u76f8\u5bf9\u6807\u7684\u80a1\u7968\u8d35\u7684\u65f6\u5019, \u505a\u7a7a\u53ef\u8f6c\u503a, \u4e70\u5165\u80a1\u7968. \u8fd9\u65f6\u8d4c\u795e\u6b63\u5f0f\u6539\u884c\u5f53\u4e86\u80a1\u795e, \u4ece\u6b64\u5272\u82b1\u8857\u97ed\u83dc\u5272\u4e86\u51e0\u5341\u5e74\u4e00\u76f4\u5230\u73b0\u5728…<\/p>\n\n\n\n

1965\u5e74, UC Irvine\u6210\u7acb, Throp\u56de\u5230\u5357\u52a0\u5dde\u52a0\u5165\u6210\u4e3a\u6570\u5b66\u7cfb\u521b\u7cfb\u5143\u8001. \u4ed6\u548c\u540c\u6821\u53e6\u4e00\u4f4d\u5fd7\u8da3\u76f8\u6295\u7684\u6559\u6388Sheen Kassouf\u5408\u4f5c\u5199\u4e86\u672c\u4e66, \u53ebBeat the Market (\u6218\u80dc\u5e02\u573a). \u8fd9\u672c\u4e66\u76ee\u524d\u5728Amazon\u5356$269, 1967\u5e74\u53d1\u884c\u7684. \u5356\u5f97\u8d35\u4e3b\u8981\u662f\u56e0\u4e3a\u4e0d\u53d1\u884c\u65b0\u7248\u7684\u4e86, \u73b0\u5728\u90fd\u662f\u5c11\u91cf\u7b2c\u4e09\u65b9\u4e70\u5bb6\u5728\u4e8c\u624b\u5e02\u573a\u6d41\u901a\u7684. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Thorp\u65e9\u5c31\u56e0\u4e3a\u524d\u4e00\u672c\u4e66Beat the Dealer\u6210\u4e3a\u4e86\u8fd8\u6ca1\u6709\u7f51\u7684\u65f6\u5019\u7684\u201c\u7f51\u7ea2\u201c, \u73b0\u5728\u56e0\u4e3a\u8fd9\u672c\u4e66, UC Irvine\u7684\u6559\u6388\u90fd\u6155\u540d\u800c\u6765, \u8bf7\u4ed6\u7ba1\u7406\u81ea\u5df1\u7684\u94b1. \u5176\u4e2d\u8fd8\u6709\u4e00\u4f4d\u7cfb\u4e3b\u4efb, \u56e0\u4e3a\u4ed6\u73b0\u5728\u6295\u8d44\u7684\u5408\u4f19\u4eba\u516c\u53f8\u8981\u89e3\u6563\u4e86, \u4ed6\u9700\u8981\u627e\u4e00\u4f4d\u65b0\u7684money manager\u6765\u7ba1\u7406\u4ed6\u88ab\u9000\u56de\u6765\u7684\u6295\u8d44, \u6240\u4ee5\u8bf7\u4e86\u5c06\u8981\u89e3\u6563\u7684\u5408\u4f19\u4eba\u516c\u53f8\u7684\u7ba1\u7406\u4eba\u548cThorp\u5403\u4e86\u9910\u996d, \u8bf7\u4ed6\u9a8c\u4e00\u4e0bThorp\u7684\u6c34\u5e73. \u800c\u8fd9\u4f4d\u7ba1\u7406\u4eba\u7684\u540d\u5b57\u53eb: \u6c83\u4f26\u5df4\u83f2\u7279 (\u534e\u4f26\u5df4\u83f2\u7279). <\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u5df4\u83f2\u7279\u89e3\u6563\u5408\u4f19\u516c\u53f8\u662f\u56e0\u4e3a\u4ed6\u51b3\u5b9a\u5168\u529b\u7ecf\u8425c-corp\u4f2f\u514b\u5e0c\u5c14\u54c8\u6492\u97e6\u516c\u53f8, \u4e0d\u518d\u641eLP. \u4e8e\u662f\u4e24\u4f4d\u4e16\u7eaa\u80a1\u795e\u5c31\u89c1\u9762\u4e86. \u4e4b\u540e, Thorp\u5f97\u5230\u4e86\u5df4\u7279\u7279\u7684\u80af\u5b9a, \u6240\u4ee5\u7cfb\u4e3b\u4efb\u5f53\u7136\u653e\u5fc3\u5730\u628a\u94b1\u6295\u5165\u5230Thorp\u7684\u5408\u4f19\u4eba\u516c\u53f8, \u800cThorp\u65ad\u5b9a\u5df4\u83f2\u7279\u5c06\u4f1a\u6210\u4e3a\u9996\u5bcc. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u968f\u7740Thorp\u7684\u5408\u4f19\u4eba\u8d8a\u6765\u8d8a\u591a, \u7ba1\u7406\u7684\u8d44\u4ea7\u8d8a\u6765\u8d8a\u5927, \u4ed6\u548c\u4e00\u4f4d\u5728\u4e1c\u5cb8\u7684Dartmouth\u6bd5\u4e1a\u751fJay Regan\u6210\u7acb\u4e86\u82b1\u8857\u97ed\u83dc\u6536\u5272\u673a, Princeton Newport Partners (PNP). Regan\u5728\u4e1c\u5cb8\u65b0\u6cfd\u897f\u5dde\u666e\u6797\u65af\u987f\u529e\u516c\u5ba4\u7684\u56e2\u961f\u8d1f\u8d23business\u548ctrading\u7684\u4e1a\u52a1, \u800cThorp\u5728\u5357\u52a0\u5dde\u7684Newport Beach\u529e\u516c\u5ba4\u7ec4\u7ec7\u56e2\u961f\u8d1f\u8d23\u6570\u636e\u5206\u6790, \u6295\u8d44\u7b56\u7565\u7684\u7814\u7a76\u548c\u5236\u5b9a. \u671f\u95f4, Thorp\u8fd8\u53d1\u660e\u4e86\u671f\u6743\u5b9a\u4ef7\u516c\u5f0f. \u8fd9\u4e2a\u516c\u5f0f\u88ab\u5e94\u7528\u5230PNP\u7684\u5957\u5229\u6295\u8d44\u4e0a, \u548c\u4e4b\u524d\u7684\u53ef\u8f6c\u503a\u5957\u5229\u7b56\u7565\u7c7b\u4f3c. \u540e\u6765\u6709\u4e00\u5929, \u829d\u52a0\u54e5\u5927\u5b66\u4e00\u4f4d\u6559\u6388Fisher Black\u53d1\u4e86\u7bc7paper\u7ed9Thorp review, \u8bf4\u8bba\u6587\u662f\u53d7\u5230\u4e86\u4ed6\u548cKassouf\u5199\u5f97 Beat the Market \u8fd9\u672c\u4e66\u7684\u542f\u53d1, \u5185\u5bb9\u6b63\u662f\u671f\u6743\u5b9a\u4ef7\u516c\u5f0f. Thorp\u53d1\u73b0\u8fd9\u548c\u4ed6\u81ea\u5df1\u7684\u516c\u5f0f\u57fa\u672c\u662f\u4e00\u6837\u7684. \u8fd9\u7bc7paper\u4f5c\u4e3a\u5b66\u672f\u7814\u7a76\u540e\u6765\u53d1\u8868\u4e86, \u4e5f\u5c31\u662f\u540e\u6765\u7684Black-Scholes\u516c\u5f0f, \u5176\u4e2d\u7684\u5171\u540c\u4f5c\u8005Myron Scholes\u548cRobert Merton\u56e0\u4e3a\u8fd9\u4e2a\u516c\u5f0f\u83b7\u5f97\u4e86\u8bfa\u8d1d\u5c14\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5956. Black\u6559\u6388\u81ea\u5df1\u5374\u56e0\u4e3a\u764c\u75c7\u53bb\u4e16\u4e86, \u6ca1\u80fd\u83b7\u5956. \u4f5c\u4e3a\u6700\u5148\u53d1\u660e\u4eba\u7684Thorp\u867d\u7136\u9057\u61be, \u4e0d\u8fc7\u4ed6\u4f5c\u4e3a\u5408\u4f19\u4eba\u516c\u53f8\u7684\u7ba1\u7406\u8005, \u7528\u8fd9\u516c\u5f0f\u7ed9\u516c\u53f8\u8d5a\u4e86\u4e0d\u5c11\u94b1, \u6b63\u6240\u8c13\u9c7c\u4e0e\u718a\u638c\u4e0d\u53ef\u517c\u5f97. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

PNP\u8fd0\u884c\u4e8613\u5e74(1974\u52301987), \u5e74\u5316\u56de\u62a518%, \u6ca1\u6709\u4e00\u5e74\u4e8f\u635f. \u6700\u540e\u57281987\u5e74, \u56e0\u4e3aFed\u8c03\u67e5\u53e6\u4e00\u4f20\u5947\u4eba\u7269Michael Milken, \u5783\u573e\u503a\u5238\u4e4b\u738b, PNP Princeton\u529e\u516c\u5ba4\u56e0\u4e3a\u548cMilken\u7684\u516c\u53f8\u6709\u4e9b\u4e1a\u52a1\u5f80\u6765\u800c\u4e5f\u88ab\u8c03\u67e5. PNP\u6ca1\u6709\u88ab\u5b9a\u7f6a, \u4f46\u662f\u4e0d\u5f97\u4e0d\u82b1\u8d39\u5927\u91cf\u5f8b\u5e08\u8d39\u548c\u7cbe\u529b\u5e94\u4ed8\u8c03\u67e5, \u8fdeLP\u4eec\u90fd\u88ab\u6267\u6cd5\u4eba\u5458\u76d8\u95ee, Thorp\u4e0d\u751a\u5176\u70e6\u51b3\u5b9a\u5173\u95edPNP\u9690\u9000\u6c5f\u6e56. \u8d1f\u8d23\u8fd9\u6b21\u8c03\u67e5\u7684\u7ebd\u7ea6\u5357\u533a\u6cd5\u9662\u68c0\u67e5\u5b98, \u6b63\u662f\u540e\u6765\u7684\u7ebd\u7ea6\u5e02\u957f, \u73b0\u5728\u5ddd\u666e\u603b\u7edf\u7684\u5f8b\u5e08: \u6731\u5229\u5b89\u5c3c (Rudy Giuliani). \u6240\u4ee5Thorp\u5927\u795e\u5bf9Giuliani\u53ef\u6ca1\u6709\u4ec0\u4e48\u597d\u5370\u8c61. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u540e\u6765Thorp\u641e\u8fc7\u4e9b\u5c0f\u89c4\u6a21\u7684\u6295\u8d44\u516c\u53f8, \u57fa\u672c\u5c31\u662f\u7ba1\u7406\u4e2a\u4eba\u5bb6\u65cf\u8d22\u4ea7\u4e86, \u4e0d\u518d\u7ecf\u8425\u5927hedge fund. \u4e66\u91cc\u6700\u540e\u6709\u63d0\u5230\u4ed6\u89c9\u5f97\u94b1\u5df2\u7ecf\u8d5a\u591f\u4e86, \u91cd\u5fc3\u8f6c\u79fb\u5230\u4eab\u53d7\u751f\u6d3b\u4e0a\u4e86. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u8fd9\u672c\u4e66\u662f\u5bf9\u6211\u542f\u53d1\u6700\u5927\u7684\u4e00\u6295\u8d44\u65b9\u9762\u7684\u672c\u4e66, \u4ef7\u683c\u4e0d\u8d35, \u73b0\u5728\u624d$8.5. \u6e7e\u533a\u51e0\u4e2a\u56fe\u4e66\u9986\u90fd\u6709\u7684, \u4e0d\u60f3\u4e70\u7684\u8bdd\u53ef\u4ee5\u53bb\u501f. \u6211\u81ea\u5df1\u662f\u7528Audible\u542c\u7684, \u9694\u4e00\u6bb5\u65f6\u95f4\u90fd\u4f1a\u91cd\u65b0\u542c\u4e00\u904d, \u6bcf\u6b21\u90fd\u7ed9\u6211\u4e00\u4e9b\u65b0\u7684\u542f\u53d1. \u6ce8\u518c\u65b0\u7684Audible\u4f1a\u5458\u7b2c\u4e00\u4e2a\u6708\u662f\u514d\u8d39\u7684. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u4ee5\u540e\u6211\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u5206\u4eab\u4e9b\u6280\u672f\u7ec6\u8282. \u800c\u91cc\u9762\u63d0\u5230\u7684\u5f88\u591a\u77e5\u8bc6\u70b9\u4e5f\u662f\u503c\u5f97\u6df1\u5165\u5b66\u4e60\u7684, \u6bd4\u5982Louis Bachelier\u7684\u8bba\u6587\u6216\u8005Black-Scholes\u516c\u5f0f. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

A Man for All Markets \u8fd9\u672c\u4e66\u662fEd Thorp(Edward Thorp, \u4e2d\u8bd1: \u7231\u5fb7\u534e\u7d22\u666e)\u7684\u81ea\u4f20. \u5927\u5bb6\u90fd\u77e5\u9053\u5df4\u83f2\u7279, \u4e0d\u77e5\u9053\u4e3a\u4ec0\u4e48Ed Thorp\u7684\u540d\u6c14\u5e76\u4e0d\u662f\u5f88\u5927. Ed Thorp\u662f\u91cf\u5316\u6295\u8d44\u7684\u6559\u7236\u7ea7\u4eba\u7269. \u540e\u6765\u6211\u5728\u6e7e\u533a\u56fe\u4e66\u9986\u89c1\u5230\u8fd9\u672c\u4e66\u8fd8\u6709\u53f0\u6e7e\u51fa\u7248\u7684\u4e2d\u6587\u7ffb\u8bd1\u7248\u672c, \u7ffb\u8bd1\u7684\u4e66\u540d\u5f88\u597d\u7684\u6982\u62ec\u4e86Thorp\u7684\u4f20\u5947\u4eba\u751f: \u4ed6\u662f\u8d4c\u795e, \u66f4\u662f\u80a1\u795e. (\u4e2d\u56fd\u5927\u9646\u7ffb\u8bd1\u4e3a: \u6218\u80dc\u4e00\u5207\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u4eba, \u4e2d\u4fe1\u51fa\u7248\u793e, \u8c46\u74e3\u8bc4\u5206: 8.3).<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mi_skip_tracking":false},"categories":[5],"tags":[],"yoast_head":"\n\u6211\u559c\u6b22\u7684\u6295\u8d44\u4e66\u7c4d\u63a8\u8350 (1) A Man for All Markets | My investment book recommendations (1) A Man for All Markets | Feel Like Learning<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/feellikelearning.com\/index.php\/2020\/11\/27\/cn-my-investment-book-recommendations-1-a-man-for-all-markets\/?variant=zh-hant\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"\u6211\u559c\u6b22\u7684\u6295\u8d44\u4e66\u7c4d\u63a8\u8350 (1) A Man for All Markets | My investment book recommendations (1) A Man for All Markets | Feel Like Learning\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"A Man for All Markets \u8fd9\u672c\u4e66\u662fEd Thorp(Edward Thorp, \u4e2d\u8bd1: \u7231\u5fb7\u534e\u7d22\u666e)\u7684\u81ea\u4f20. \u5927\u5bb6\u90fd\u77e5\u9053\u5df4\u83f2\u7279, \u4e0d\u77e5\u9053\u4e3a\u4ec0\u4e48Ed Thorp\u7684\u540d\u6c14\u5e76\u4e0d\u662f\u5f88\u5927. Ed Thorp\u662f\u91cf\u5316\u6295\u8d44\u7684\u6559\u7236\u7ea7\u4eba\u7269. \u540e\u6765\u6211\u5728\u6e7e\u533a\u56fe\u4e66\u9986\u89c1\u5230\u8fd9\u672c\u4e66\u8fd8\u6709\u53f0\u6e7e\u51fa\u7248\u7684\u4e2d\u6587\u7ffb\u8bd1\u7248\u672c, \u7ffb\u8bd1\u7684\u4e66\u540d\u5f88\u597d\u7684\u6982\u62ec\u4e86Thorp\u7684\u4f20\u5947\u4eba\u751f: \u4ed6\u662f\u8d4c\u795e, \u66f4\u662f\u80a1\u795e. (\u4e2d\u56fd\u5927\u9646\u7ffb\u8bd1\u4e3a: \u6218\u80dc\u4e00\u5207\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u4eba, \u4e2d\u4fe1\u51fa\u7248\u793e, \u8c46\u74e3\u8bc4\u5206: 8.3).\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/feellikelearning.com\/index.php\/2020\/11\/27\/cn-my-investment-book-recommendations-1-a-man-for-all-markets\/?variant=zh-hant\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Feel Like Learning\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2020-11-27T05:20:01+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2020-12-03T19:06:54+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"http:\/\/feellikelearning.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/a_man_for_all_markets.jpg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"feellikelearning\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"feellikelearning\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" 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